pattern exists in the data? B. Develop three-month and four-month moving averages for this time series. Does the three-month or the four-month moving average provide thc better forecasts based on MSE’? Explain your reasoning. C. Using your results in (B). compute MAD. NAPE. and Tracking Signal (TS). Which method provides better forecast? Explain your reasoning. Assume TS limit of +4. D. Apply exponential smoothing to thc data. Compute NLSE. MADE. MAD. and TS. Use a — 0.3. Bow does exponential smoothing compare with four-month moving average? Assume TS limit of *.4.
Market Month Shares
1 23.39 2 23.56 3 23.02 4 23.03 5 23.60 6 23.37 7 23.21
S 23.40
9 23.31 10 23.94 11 23.39 12 23.50
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