Scenario 1. North Korea Nuclear & Ballistic Missile Program: You are a Defence Intelligence Organisation (DIO) or Headquarters Joint Operations Centre (JOC), J2 (Intelligence Directorate), Bungendore intelligence analyst and you have been directed to research, analyze and deliver a comprehensive yet concise ‘Intelligence Estimate’ & one-page ‘IssuePaper’ on the historical, current and projected situation in North Korea concerning its Nuclear Weapons and Ballistic Missile programs. Your assigned mission is to provide an intelligence assessment on this problem using an intelligence preparation of the operational environment approach to support the development of potential future Australian national courses of action (CoAs). You will need to assess North Korea’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile program capabilities and assess its intent to employ them: how, when, and where — most likely and most dangerous courses of action (COAs).Scenario 2. PRC Maritime Territorial Ambitions in the South China Sea: You are a Defence Intelligence Organisation (DIO) or Headquarters Joint Operations Centre (JOC), J2(Intelligence Directorate), Bungendore intelligence analyst and you have been directed to build a comprehensive yet concise ‘Intelligence Estimate’ & one-page ‘Issue Paper’ on the historical, current and projected situation in the South China Sea involving expansive People’s Republic of China (PRC) maritime territorial claims. Your assigned mission is to provide an intelligence assessment on this problem using an intelligence preparation of the operational environment approach to support the development of potential future Australian national courses of action (CoAs). You will need to assess the PRC’s expansive maritime territorial claims and supporting activities in the South China Sea, as well as china’s future intentions, to include the most likely and most dangerous potential courses of action (COAs).
