HOW TO ANALYZE A CASE
Excerpted from
The Case Study Handbook:
How to Read, Discuss, and Write Persuasively About Case
By
William Ellet
Copyright 2007 Harvard Business School Publishing Corporation
Acase is a text that refuses to explain itself. How do you construct a meaning for it?
Start by recognizing some contextual factors that help limit and narrow the analysis. Cases are usually studied in a course. A marketing case requires you to think as a marketer, not a strategist or manufacturing manager. Courses are often divided into different modules or themes defined by cer- tain types of situations and, often, concepts, theories, and practices appro- priate for these situations.You can expect to encounter the themes in the cases that are part of the modules and opportunities to put to work the ana- lytical tools and best practices you have learned. Past case discussions pro- vide a foundation for thinking about a new case, and study questions can call attention to important issues.You should make use of all these contex- tual factors, but they don’t amount to a method for analyzing a case.
STARTING POINT FOR UNDERSTANDING
The case method is heuristic—a term for self-guided learning that employs analysis to help draw conclusions about a situation. Analysis is derived from a Greek word meaning, “a dissolving.” In English, analysis has two closely related definitions: to break something up into its constituent parts; and to study the relationships of the parts to the whole. To analyze a case, you therefore need ways of identifying and understanding important aspects of a situation and what they mean in relation to the overall situation.
Each business discipline has its own theories, frameworks, processes and practices, and quantitative tools. All of them are adapted to help understand specific types of situations. Michael Porter’s concepts are productive when investigating competitive advantage—but they aren’t very helpful for de- ciding whether to launch a product at a particular price or choosing the best method to finance the growth of a business. Porter’s five forces can describe and explain the industry context in which a firm operates.1
No one would expect Porter’s framework to guide a product launch decision. Specialized methods are fruitful because they’re tailored to fit well-defined purposes. They’re often complex, though, and hard to apply, especially for people who are just learning how to use them.
This book teaches an approach to cases that complements business con- cepts and theories. Its purpose is to provide a starting point for analysis that aids the use of theories and frameworks and quantitative formulas, all of which are indispensable for reaching conclusions about a case and building an argument for those conclusions.The case situation approach identifies fea- tures of a case that can be helpful to its analysis and encourages active reading.
THINKING, NOT READING, IS KEY
Students new to the case method usually believe the most reliable way to understand a case is to read it from start to finish and then reread it as many times as necessary. (That’s why many business school students think speed- reading courses can help them.) They rush into a case, highlighter in hand, reading as if the case were a textbook chapter. For case analysis you need to know when to read fast and when to read slowly.You should also spend more time thinking about a case than reading it.
When you begin work on a new case, you don’t know what to look for. That is the major dilemma that confronts everyone who reads a case. In an active approach to a case, you start thinking before you read the case. And as you start reading it, you ask questions about the content. Then you seek answers in the case itself.As you find partial or full answers, you think about how they relate to each other and to the big picture of the case.You don’t make knowledge by reading. Reading is never the primary resource of case analysis. Reading is simply an instrument directed by the thought process that makes meaning from the text.
TYPES OF CASE SITUATIONS
Four types of situations occur repeatedly in cases: • Problems
• Decisions
• Evaluations
• Rules
People sometimes react indignantly to this classification.They insist that there are a multitude of situations portrayed in cases, and it’s misleading to say they’re reducible to four.The four are not the only situations found in cases, but many case situations do belong in one of the four categories, and when they do, an awareness of which one can help organize analysis. This approach isn’t the only correct way—it is one way. Try it and see if it helps.
Feel free to integrate pieces of it with your own way of dealing with cases. The greatest value of the case situation approach may be that it causes you to think about how you think about case studies.
Problems
The word problem has many meanings.The meaning can be vague, referring to something that’s difficult or troubling.The definition of problem as a case situation, however, is quite specific. It is a situation in which (1) there is a significant outcome or performance, and (2) there is no explicit explanation of the outcome or performance.To put it simply, a problem is a situation in which something important has happened, but we don’t know why it did.
Cases provide many examples of problems defined this way. In one, a well-trained, well-intentioned manager has tried to introduce a worthwhile change in the sales strategy of an organization—a change supported by a detailed, data-driven analysis everyone admits is a breakthrough—and has failed to get any of the sales staff to go along. In another, an accounting manager of a manufacturer notices that two good retail customers suddenly have accounts payable that are large and overdue enough to be worrisome. He has no idea why the two firms would fall so far behind in their payments.
Both of these cases describe situations that involve negative outcomes. The causes of these sorts of outcomes are important to know for a practical reason: the knowledge can help improve the situation. The change effort may be self-destructive because it has weaknesses that are not apparent, or the manager may be good at many things but is a poor change agent.The manufacturer’s retail customers may have large accounts payable because they have sloppy internal controls—or they may both be on the verge of bankruptcy.These possibilities illustrate why accurate causal analysis is vital. A conceptually flawed change is addressed very differently from an individ- ual who isn’t well suited to lead change. If both situations exist, the correc- tive action is that much more complex. Retail operations that need to clean up their accounting processes might require the manufacturer to engage in negotiations over a period of time, but two firms with bad debts that might go bankrupt require the supplier’s immediate attention.
Success can also be a problem in the special meaning used here.Take the case of a company that specializes in outdoor advertising. It operates in three different market segments, but the case doesn’t tell you which is the most profitable, much less why. Another case describes the development of a country over a period of thirty years or so; after severe political and social up- heaval, the country slowly recovers and exceeds the performance of most countries in the region. But the case doesn’t state how much more successful the country has been relative to its neighbors, and while it provides a great deal of data, both economic and demographic, it doesn’t enumerate the rea- sons for the country’s revival.
Problem analysis begins with a definition of the problem.That seems obvious, yet many cases don’t state a problem. So first, you need to realize a problem exists and then define it for yourself. Next, you work out an expla- nation of the problem by linking the outcome or performance to its root causes—this is the main work of problem analysis. To carry it out, you’ll need relevant tools, the specialized methods of business disciplines such as organizational behavior or operations management.
Decisions
Many cases are organized around an explicit decision. The second para- graph of “General Motors: Packard Electric Division” (reproduced in this book) begins with this sentence: “The Product, Process, and Reliability (PPR) committee, which had the final responsibility for the new product development process, had asked [David] Schramm for his analysis and rec- ommendation as to whether Packard Electric should commit to the RIM grommet for a 1992 model year car.” Like many cases, this one complicates that decision immediately: Schramm must make up his mind within a week, and the product development people and manufacturing disagree over which way to go.
The existence of an explicit decision is an important distinction, because nearly all business cases involve decisions. In many of these cases, however, the decisions are implicit and dependent on another situation. Let’s take a case described earlier that involves a problem: the outdoor advertising com- pany.The case implies a decision:What is the best strategy the company should pursue in the future? This decision can only be made after the com- pany’s current strategy and how well it works are analyzed.
The decisions featured in cases vary greatly in scope, consequence, and available data. An executive must decide whether to launch a product, move a plant, pursue a merger, or provide financing for a planned expansion—or the president of a country must decide whether to sign a controversial trade agreement. Regardless of the dimensions of a decision, analyzing it requires the following:
Decision options
Decision criteria
Relevant evidence
Identifying decision options is often easy because the case tells you what they are. As soon as you encounter a stated decision, you should look for a statement of the alternatives. If they aren’t stated, then the first goal of analysis is to come up with plausible decision options.
The most important part of a decision analysis is determining the crite- ria.A rational decision can’t be made without appropriate criteria.A deci- sion case isn’t likely to state criteria—they have to be derived through careful study of the specifics of the case, with the help of specialized methods. The criteria are used to develop evidence to complete a decision analysis. The goal is to determine the decision that creates the best fit between the available evidence and the criteria. In the General Motors case, a possible decision criteria is value to the customer.The reader needs to find evidence indicating which option delivers the greatest value to the customer. (That doesn’t settle the matter, though, because there are other criteria.)
One other characteristic of decision analysis deserves mention here. There is no objectively correct decision.The standard for a good decision is the one that creates more benefits than the alternatives and has fewer or less severe downsides.
Evaluations
Evaluations express a judgment about the worth, value, or effectiveness of a performance, act, or outcome.The unit of analysis of an evaluation can be an individual, a group, a department, an entire organization, a country, or a global region.An annual performance evaluation of an employee is a real- world example. So is a new CEO evaluating the performance of the com- pany she is now heading. An evaluation can also involve the assessment of an act, such as a decision that has already been taken. Here is an example:
From the perspective of current EU members, do you agree with their decision to enlarge the Union by ten new members?
Finally, an outcome can be the subject of an assessment.The competitive position of a company, for instance, is the outcome of numerous decisions and performances as well as contingencies such as macroeconomic conditions.
Like decision analysis, evaluation requires appropriate criteria. Without them, there are no standards for assessing worth, value, or effectiveness.As in decision analysis, evaluative criteria are inferred from the particulars of a sit- uation with help from specialized methods. Evaluating a company’s finan- cial performance over a five-year period can be undertaken with a long list of financial formulas, but the circumstances portrayed in the case come into play as well.The numbers may show that a company has a steadily declining performance over the period, but it still may be doing well because the national economy is slumping and the company is actually doing better than its competitors.
An overall evaluation expresses the best fit between the evidence and the criteria. In the example just given, measured against purely financial crite- ria, the company is doing poorly.Yet, the evidence pertaining to macroeco- nomic and competitive criteria alters the evaluation: in a tough market, the company is actually performing better than its peers.
Another requirement of evaluation is that it include both positive and negative sides. A leader has strengths and weaknesses, and both are included in an accurate evaluation. Moreover, there may be aspects of the leader’s performance that are ambiguous—he has delegated power widely, but it is too early to tell whether the managers below him can handle the power. And this individual’s performance as a leader could be substantially affected by factors outside his control—corporate headquarters has intervened in his promotion decisions and insisted that certain favorites be elevated even though they aren’t the best-qualified candidates.
Rules
Quantitative methods can provide critical information about business situ- ations. For example, say there is a need to compare the value of a company when a specific condition exists—a partnership with another company— and when it doesn’t exist.The way to calculate future cash values—one that experts and experience support as reasonably accurate—is net present value. An NPV calculation is done according to a formula. Mathematically, there is a right way to perform the calculation; any other way provides an inaccurate result.
For rules analysis, you need to know:
The type of information needed in a situation
The appropriate rule to furnish that information
The correct way to apply the rule
The data necessary to execute the rule
Rules analysis exists in virtually every area of business.A breakeven calculation is a rule used in marketing. In manufacturing, quantitative meth- ods are used for process analysis, and accounting and finance consist primarily of rules.The scope of rules is very narrow. For the most part, they are useful only in specific sets of circumstances, but in those circumstances are very productive. There is a correct way to execute or perform the rule, performance over the period, but it still may be doing well because the national economy is slumping and the company is actually doing better than its competitors.
An overall evaluation expresses the best fit between the evidence and the criteria. In the example just given, measured against purely financial crite- ria, the company is doing poorly.Yet, the evidence pertaining to macroeco- nomic and competitive criteria alters the evaluation: in a tough market, the company is actually performing better than its peers.
Another requirement of evaluation is that it include both positive and negative sides. A leader has strengths and weaknesses, and both are included in an accurate evaluation. Moreover, there may be aspects of the leader’s performance that are ambiguous—he has delegated power widely, but it is too early to tell whether the managers below him can handle the power. And this individual’s performance as a leader could be substantially affected by factors outside his control—corporate headquarters has intervened in his promotion decisions and insisted that certain favorites be elevated even though they aren’t the best-qualified candidates.
Rules
Quantitative methods can provide critical information about business situations. For example, say there is a need to compare the value of a company when a specific condition exists—a partnership with another company— and when it doesn’t exist. The way to calculate future cash values—one that experts and experience support as reasonably accurate—is net present value. An NPV calculation is done according to a formula. Mathematically, there is a right way to perform the calculation; any other way provides an inaccurate result.
For rules analysis, you need to know:
The type of information needed in a situation
The appropriate rule to furnish that information
The correct way to apply the rule
The data necessary to execute the rule
Rules analysis exists in virtually every area of business. A breakeven calculation is a rule used in marketing. In manufacturing, quantitative methods are used for process analysis, and accounting and finance consist primarily of rules. The scope of rules is very narrow. For the most part, they are useful only in specific sets of circumstances, but in those circumstances are very productive. There is a correct way to execute or perform the rule, However, the interpretation of the output of rules is distinct from the rules themselves. If the right rule is applied and correctly performed, and the rule doesn’t involve a controversial assumption (like the predicted growth rate of GNP), everyone will come up with exactly the same result. If a qualita- tive method relevant to a situation is applied to the same set of facts in a way consistent with the generally understood meaning of its concepts, everyone will not necessarily come up with the same result.That is the fundamental difference between rules, as defined here, and qualitative methods.
Rules aren’t pursued further in this book. Learning rules analysis means learning a certain category of rules—valuation, for instance—and when and how to use them.That learning is the province of accounting, finance, tax, and other areas that are intensely rule governed. However, it may be helpful to remember that when rules depend upon assumptions, the values chosen for them require an argument. Moreover, the information rules provide has great importance for the analysis of problems, decisions, and evalua- tions.Accounting rules can diagnose the financial health of an organization. Macroeconomics is invaluable in evaluating a nation’s development strat- egy. Financial rules are indispensable to a decision about whether to sell a company at a given time and price. Rules are a large and important subset of the specialized methods necessary to understand case situations.
CASE ANALYSIS AS A PROCESS
The way you analyze a case differs from the way anyone else does.There is a difference, though, between personal study habits and a process for ana- lyzing a case.The latter involves more than habits and practices. It concerns how you think about a case.The intention of this section is to suggest a process that has helped case method students become more efficient and productive.This process is designed for case discussion preparation, but it is easily adapted to a process for writing a case essay. (However, the way a case is analyzed for an essay is more prescriptive, since an essay must have certain elements. Chapters 10 through 12 will explain these elements.)
The key to the process is active reading.Active reading is interrogative and purposeful.You ask questions about the case and seek answers. Questions give a purpose for reading; they direct and focus study on important aspects of a situation.The moment you sense that you are reading without purpose, stop and regroup. It may be a good time to step away and stretch, do some yoga, or walk. Active reading is also iterative, meaning you make multiple passes through a case.With each iteration, the purpose of reading changes: you are looking for new information or looking at old information in a new way. Three concepts contribute to active reading: a goal, a point of view, and a hypothesis.
Goal of Analysis
At first it may seem obvious.What other goal can there be for analyzing a case than to understand it? The problem is that “understanding” is too vague. Another way to think about the goal is, How do you know when to conclude the study of a case? This is an important question. If you don’t have a concrete limit, you can drift along for hours, much of it taken up by distraction and undirected effort. Here is a more concrete goal: you are familiar with the information in the case, you have come to a conclusion about the main issue, you have evidence showing why your conclusion is reasonable, and you have thought about other possible conclusions and why yours is preferable to them.
This substantive goal can be combined with a time limit. Allocate a set amount of time—two hours, for example—for each case. At the end of the period, stop and settle for whatever you know about the case.This is a very good way to put constructive pressure on yourself to make the most of the time.
Point of View
To anchor analysis, take advantage of what’s already in the case. Adopt the point of view of the protagonist—the main character. Put yourself in her shoes. Her dilemma should be your dilemma. If it’s a decision, set a recom- mended decision as your goal.When you adopt the persona of the main character, don’t assume that you’re dealing with a cardboard cutout, a dra- matic veneer. Consider the character’s strengths, responsibilities, and blind spots. By all means, too, be sensitive to the dilemmas characters find them- selves in. Often, a good question to ask yourself is,Why is the person in this dilemma?
Hypothesis
One of the most useful constructs for resolving the protagonist’s dilemma is a hypothesis.A hypothesis is “a tentative explanation that accounts for a set of facts and can be tested by further investigation.”2 It is indispensable to science and to any fact-based analytic activity in which multiple conclusions are possible.
A hypothesis offers the advantage of a concrete statement you can test against case evidence. Say that the protagonist of a case must evaluate an individual she has hired—a rising star, but also a person who alienates many people inside the firm and cuts some corners in his relentless pursuit of new business.The hypothesis is that the new hire should receive a high rating despite some flaws in his performance. To test it, you’ll have to develop a strong argument, based on relevant criteria, facts, and inferences, that backs a positive evaluation but also recognizes poor performance on other criteria. Cases don’t allow just any hypothesis.The available evidence in the case sets the rational limit on the range of hypotheses.A hypothesis that can’t be argued from evidence in the case is simply an unsubstantiated opinion. However, there is a range of possible hypotheses about every case. A con- trarian’s position—one that opposes what seem to be safer hypotheses and can be argued from evidence—can have a galvanizing effect in a discussion, forcing everyone to look at the evidence from an entirely new angle or
consider evidence no one else has noticed.
DESCRIPTION OF PROCESS
The rest of this chapter outlines a process for working on cases.The process has five phases:
1. Situation
2. Questions
3. Hypothesis
4. Proof and action 5. Alternatives
The process is meant to be flexible and adaptable. Experiment with it, using the cases in this book. Many students don’t give much thought to their case-study approach, not because it is unimportant but because they don’t see anything tangible to think about. Ultimately, the value of the process described below depends on whether it prompts you to think about your own process.
1. Situation (5 minutes)
The most difficult part of a case analysis seems to be the beginning. You have to bridge the gap between no knowledge about the case and knowledge sufficient to form a hypothesis. That gap can look very wide as you begin reading a case thick with detail; it can seem to be all parts and no whole. Earlier in the chapter, I stressed that it is hard to find something when you don’t know what you’re looking for. To get started, you can structure analysis with a series of questions. The process I advocate is under- standing the big picture first and then filling it in with details. Start by asking this question: What is the situation?
Usually reading the first and last sections of the case is sufficient to identify the situation. Decisions and evaluations tend to be stated at the beginning. Problems are harder to recognize, and more details about identifying them are provided in chapter 5.A characteristic of a problem case is the absence of any actionable statement made by or about the protagonist. Often, the main character is reflecting on a situation and wondering what to do.
Reading the first and last sections of the case can often provide far more information than just the type of situation. In decision cases, these sections may specify the decision options. That is true of the case “General Motors: Packard Electric Division.” If you don’t find options at the beginning or end of a case, you should scan other sections. The opening or ending of a problem case may present a partial or complete description of the problem. In all types of cases, the initial and final sections frequently express a tension or conflict important to the analysis. In “General Motors,” the first section identifies the decision and a conflict between two functional groups.The two sides of the conflict, with the protagonist in the middle, can be refer- ence points for analysis. Why do the product development people so strongly support an innovative component that they’re willing to take a for- midable risk? And why are the manufacturing people just as adamant that the company should not go forward with the component in the short term?
After reading the openings and closing sections, you should put the case aside for a moment and consider what you have learned. Is the situation a problem, decision, or evaluation? Do you have any ideas about the causal frameworks or criteria that might fit the situation? Does it seem you’ll have to cut through a large amount of information in the case or make many inferences because the information is scarce? Are there any hints in the two sections about causes, criteria, or even a plausible decision or evaluation? Do the hints seem reliable or just a way to throw you off?
2. Questions (15 minutes)
Knowing the situation allows you to ask questions pertinent to a problem, a decision, or an evaluation.The most important of these questions is: What do I need to know about the situation?
Here are questions specific to each situation:
PROBLEM
Who or what is the subject of the problem (e.g., a manager, a company, a country)? What is the problem? Am I trying to account for a failure, a success, or something more ambiguous? What’s the significance of the problem to the subject? Who is responsible for the problem (usually it is the protagonist) and what might he need to know to do something about it?
DECISION
What are the decision options? Do any seem particularly strong or weak? What’s at stake in the decision? What are the possible criteria? What might the most important criteria be for this kind of decision? Are any of the criteria explicitly discussed in the case (case headings can sometimes give good clues)?
EVALUATION
Who or what is being evaluated? Who’s responsible for the evaluation? What’s at stake? What are the possible criteria? What might the most important criteria be for this sort of evaluation? Are any of the criteria explicitly discussed in the case (case headings can sometimes give you good clues)?
You won’t be able to answer these questions now.That will take further study.To make this first pass through the text more targeted, it’s useful to do a content inventory. Its purpose is to locate information that might be used to answer the questions about the situation.
To perform a fast inventory, scan the headings in the text. Read a little of the sections, especially those that seem to have valuable information. Exam- ine the exhibits to get a sense of what they convey.You will learn some- thing about the case—sometimes a great deal more than you might expect. You’ll also build a map of the useful content. Because cases often aren’t lin- ear in their organization, this map is very important; pieces of information related to the same issue will be found in different sections of the case and in the exhibits.
Use a pencil or pen to mark up the case. Mark high-value sections and circle facts, numbers, and statements of possible importance. Be sure to cap- ture any thoughts about the answers to your questions, and record new questions that come to mind. Note what issues particular exhibits may illuminate, and what calculations might be performed later to yield relevant information.
3. Hypothesis (45 minutes)
Armed with a list of things you want to know about the situation and a map of the content, you are ready for this question: What’s my hypothesis?
This is the most important phase of work on the case. Through close study of high value sections and exhibits, you narrow the possibilities to the one that seems most plausible to you. If there are three alternatives for a decision, test them, starting with the one you suspect has the most promise. Here are some other suggestions for structuring your work at this point:
PROBLEM
Make sure you know the problem that needs to be diagnosed. Con- sider whether the characteristics of the problem suggest causes.
Think about the frameworks that seem most appropriate to the situ- ation. Quickly review the specifics of the frameworks if you aren’t sure of them.
Pursue the diagnosis by looking at case information through the lens of the cause you are most certain about.
For each cause, make a separate pass through the case looking for evidence of it.
If the case has a lot of quantitative evidence, to what cause is it most relevant? If you don’t have a cause relevant to the quantitative evi- dence, formulate one.Work up as much relevant, high-value quanti- tative evidence as you can.
In a case with a protagonist, consider whether she is a potential cause. If you think she is, work out how she contributes to the problem.
DECISION
Review the criteria you have come up with so far.Which do you have the most confidence in?
Review the decision options. Do any seem especially strong or weak?
Apply the criterion that seems to identify the most evidence in the case.
Investigate the strongest decision option with the criterion you have the most confidence in. Or, if you’re reasonably certain about which is weakest, see if you can dismiss that option quickly.
If the case has a lot of quantitative evidence, which criterion is most relevant to it? If you don’t have a criterion relevant to the quantita- tive evidence, formulate one.Work up as much relevant, high-value quantitative evidence as you can.
If there are conflicts about the decision between individuals or groups, think about why that is. Look at the decision from the point of view of each of the parties to the conflict.
If the protagonist is in a difficult position in relation to the decision, consider why that is.
EVALUATION
Review the criteria you have come up with so far.Which do you have the most confidence in?
What are the terms of the evaluation going to be (e.g., strengths/ weaknesses)? Do any stand out in the case (e.g., an obvious strength of an individual)?
Do you already have a sense of the bottom-line evaluation you favor? If you do, what are the reasons for the preference? Pursue those reasons.
Start by applying the criterion that seems to identify the most evi- dence in the case.
Investigate the most positive rating or the most negative with the criterion you have the most confidence in.
If the case has a lot of quantitative evidence, which criterion is most relevant to it? If you don’t have a criterion relevant to the quantita- tive evidence, formulate one.Work up as much relevant, high-value quantitative evidence as you can.
Taking notes helps you organize and remember information, but it serves the equally important purpose of recording your thought process.Without note taking, you can too easily stray from active reading. Of course, note taking can degenerate into transferring information in the case to a piece of paper or computer screen. Notes on a case don’t simply record facts.They capture anything that might lead to answers to the questions you’ve asked.
It may sound trivial, but I recommend that students try to contain the “highlighter habit.”This study aid is well adapted to the lecture model of learning, but it can be a detriment to case study. Highlighting sentences is satisfying because it makes you feel you’re doing something. In reality, what you’re doing is marking sentences to think about later, and that’s a setup for passive reading.You should be thinking about statements the first time you encounter them.That said, highlighters can be useful as a tool to differenti- ate related content: facts about one aspect of the case, for example, or text and numbers that belong to one category of evidence.
A pencil or pen is more conducive to active reading—to write down questions and make notes.When you begin to gravitate toward a conclu- sion, stop work and write it down.The function of a hypothesis is to give you a position to try out, not a final conclusion, so listen carefully to your intuition.
If you have time, put the case away after this iteration. Even a short break can be useful.There is scientific evidence that our subconscious minds are much better at dealing with complexity than our conscious minds.Turning your attention to something else allows that subconscious capacity to work on the information you have collected.
4. Proof and Action (40 minutes)
A hypothesis drives a different approach to the case.You want to prove something, not look for something to prove. Ask these questions: What evi- dence do I have that supports the hypothesis? What additional evidence do I need?
Look at the information you’ve compiled and identify evidence sup- porting the hypothesis.Your first priority should be to add to the evidence you have.What is the strongest evidence? Can you add more to it?
Now assess where evidence is missing.Where will you find more—or is there any evidence in the case? Think about any factors you may have over- looked such as a cause, criterion, or evaluative category.
Go back into the case, with the single purpose of bringing out more evi- dence that aligns with your hypothesis.You don’t have to work from the first page to the last.You can go directly to the sections and exhibits you think have what you need. Of course, you can work from beginning to end if that makes you more comfortable. Just be sure to stay focused on what you’re trying to prove.
Let’s say that you’re building an argument for a decision option and one of the criteria is cost savings.You’ve noted some statements that imply your decision option will save money for the firm and circled numbers that you thought were relevant to savings. Collect those numbers now, and work out calculations to estimate the total savings.You may then have one of those gratifying moments of case study: from those scattered numbers that looked so inconsequential when viewed individually, you’ve pulled together an estimate that indicates a very large annual savings—and that’s just one part of your argument.
Also give some thought to the actionable content of your position. How would you implement the decision you’re recommending? What actions does your diagnosis or evaluation call for? Think in practical, real-world, not ideal-world, terms. Don’t just sketch out in your mind a broad
approach to action.Think about tangible actions and write them down. Finally, give a bit of thought to the order of the actions. An action plan is a program in which actions are taken at a certain time for a reason. It isn’t a to-do list.
5. Alternatives (15 minutes)
It may seem paradoxical, but the last phase of analysis should be to question your own hypothesis: What is the greatest weakness of the hypothesis? What is the strongest alternative to it?
The intention isn’t to undermine your hard work but to take a step back and look critically at the hypothesis and the evidence. Every position has a weakness, and you should be the one who recognizes it, not the professor or your peers. Here are some ways to think critically about your work:
PROBLEM
Can the problem be defined differently? Would that make a difference to the diagnosis? Are there any holes in the diagnosis—could there be causes missing? What’s the weakest part of the diagnosis? Could an entirely different diagnosis be made? What would it look like?
DECISION
What’s the biggest downside of the recommended decision? How would you manage the downside? What’s the strongest evidence against the recommendation? How would a case for the major alternative look?
EVALUATION
Have you been objective and thorough about the evaluative findings that oppose your overall assessment? Think how a different overall evaluation might be proved. Have you accounted for factors that the subject of the evaluation couldn’t control?
“BUT WHAT IF MY HYPOTHESIS IS WRONG?”
Students have asked me that question many times.A hypothesis isn’t wrong; a hypothesis fails when you can’t make a credible argument for it from case evidence. If you find yourself in that situation—and you will sooner or later—first make sure the difficulty lies with the hypothesis and not with your evidence gathering.You may have overlooked important information or not used specialized tools effectively. If you’re certain the evidence isn’t there, face up to it but realize that the work you’ve already done isn’t wasted.
You now have a good grasp of the case and probably have a good sense of what the evidence is and where it is.Your work with a new hypothesis is therefore likely to move along quickly.
Another way of looking at the fear of being wrong is to ask yourself what the alternative is. I have not heard of a method of case analysis that never leads to dubious conclusions. In fact, making analytic mistakes is invaluable. Through mistakes, we learn more about the thought process called case analysis. And a shaky analysis can sometimes be a symptom of risk taking, which is also an invaluable learning experience.
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