Forecasting election

Many political scientists, statisticians, and journalists engage in the practice of forecasting or predicting
elections (in particular presidential elections). For this discussion, look at the two ways of doing forecasts done
by political scientists listed below. Briefly describe what “inputs” are used in the forecast and why they are
used. If you were to make your own forecast of a presidential election, what additional information would you
include in a forecast that you believe would make it more accurate?
Forecasts at these links:
http://primarymodel.com/
http://pollyvote.com/en/components/econometric-models/time-for-change-model/

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